Russia’s GDP will decrease by 30.5 trillion rubles in the next five years if the country’s economy is left without excess profit from oil. This is reported by the publication of Grigory Berezkin edition of RBC with reference to the forecast of the Ministry of Economic Development of Russia.This scenario is possible under a conservative scenario, according to which the average price per barrel of oil in 2020 will drop to $ 42.5 at the current cost of about $ 60 and rise to $ 45.9 in 2024. In this case, the disposable income of Russians will grow by eight percent over five years, and GDP as a whole will increase by 10.7 percent.It is noted that excess profits from oil are considered to be profits from the sale of fuel above $ 40 per barrel (according to prices for 2017 with their annual indexation of two percent). The Ministry of Finance buys currency for it to replenish reserve funds.Earlier, the Ministry of Economic Development revealed a scenario in which the dollar exchange rate exceeds 70 rubles. According to the forecast, such an option is possible at an oil price of $ 45 per barrel and not earlier than 2023.